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Sha Tin · 2021-07-01

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUMMIT CHEERS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/2, with INFINITY WIN second and GLENEALY GENERALS third. The 2.1 favourite INFINITY WIN finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.55.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 SUMMIT CHEERS TT1 0.55.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 13 3.8 1-1/2
2 4 INFINITY WIN M L Yeung · D A Hayes 14 2.1 1-1/2
3 7 GLENEALY GENERALS B2 B Shinn · C H Yip 5 17.0 2
4 1 JOYFUL WIN B C L Chau · P F Yiu 7 14.0 2-1/2
5 11 CARRY THE DIAMOND PC T Piccone · R Gibson 4 26.0 2-3/4
6 12 GOODMANSHIP B H Bentley · D J Whyte 12 31.0 3-1/2
7 13 ISLAND SUNSHINE PC V Borges · K W Lui 3 96.0 3-1/2
8 10 YOUNG VICTORY TT C Y Ho · W Y So 10 43.0 3-3/4
9 9 EVER JOY XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 8 92.0 4-1/2
10 6 GREEN ENVY V/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 9 12.0 4-3/4
11 14 RAGING BLAZE P/TT J Moreira · J Size 11 57.0 9-3/4
12 5 REGENCY STAR B1 M F Poon · C S Shum 1 10.0 11
13 3 GLORIOUS BAUHINIA H W Lai · Y S Tsui 6 210.0 15-3/4
14 8 DIVINE ERA H- N Callan · K H Ting 2 23.0 16-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUMMIT CHEERS2. INFINITY WIN+1.5L3. GLENEALY GENERALS+2L4. JOYFUL WIN+2.5L5. CARRY THE DIAMOND+2.75L6. GOODMANSHIP+3.5L7. ISLAND SUNSHINE+3.5L8. YOUNG VICTORY+3.75L9. EVER JOY+4.5L10. GREEN ENVY+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SUMMIT CHEERS (22.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SUMMIT CHEERS 22.2% 4.50 1
2 1 JOYFUL WIN 13.7% 7.30 4
3 11 CARRY THE DIAMOND 10.6% 9.45 5
4 6 GREEN ENVY 9.7% 10.33 10
5 5 REGENCY STAR 8.3% 12.10 12
6 8 DIVINE ERA 6.4% 15.57 14
7 7 GLENEALY GENERALS 5.4% 18.38 3
8 14 RAGING BLAZE 4.2% 23.61 11
9 4 INFINITY WIN 4.1% 24.29 2
10 13 ISLAND SUNSHINE 3.7% 26.77 7
11 12 GOODMANSHIP 3.4% 29.69 6
12 10 YOUNG VICTORY 3.2% 30.87 8
13 3 GLORIOUS BAUHINIA 3.2% 31.20 13
14 9 EVER JOY 1.8% 56.35 9
SUMMIT CHEERS — wonJOYFUL WINCARRY THE DIAMONDGREEN ENVYREGENCY STARDIVINE ERAGLENEALY GENERALSRAGING BLAZEINFINITY WINISLAND SUNSHINEGOODMANSHIPYOUNG VICTORYGLORIOUS BAUHINIAEVER JOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 38.5

PLACE

2 14.5

4 12

7 37.5

QUINELLA

2,4 41

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 22

2,7 92.5

4,7 71.5

FORECAST

2,4 136

TIERCE

2,4,7 947

TRIO

2,4,7 203

FIRST 4

1,2,4,7 396

QUARTET

2,4,7,1 5,577

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,7/2,4,7 6,354

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 13.5

A2

3RD DOUBLE

7/2 348.5

7/4 34.5