Sha Tin · 2021-07-01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly V/TT 1.36.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.2 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | RED ZOFFANY B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 3 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES Led early B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 9 | 51.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 8.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED FORCE SR-/XB/B2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 3.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 2 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SEA MONARCH Closed strongly V-/H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 13 | 140.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SMART THINKER M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JOY MASTER, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with DIAMOND STAR second and DAZZLING FEELING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite FORMULA EXCEL finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL | 31.4% | 3.18 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 15.2% | 6.57 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 10.1% | 9.87 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 8.8% | 11.38 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 6.3% | 15.84 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING | 5.0% | 20.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 4.8% | 21.02 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 4.0% | 24.69 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 3.6% | 27.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 3.2% | 31.57 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART THINKER | 3.0% | 32.88 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY | 2.7% | 37.33 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 1.1% | 94.50 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | RED ZOFFANY | 0.8% | 130.78 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 94.5
PLACE
2 50.5
4 30
8 31
QUINELLA
4,8 369.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 205
2,8 213.5
4,8 115.5
FORECAST
4,8 672
TIERCE
4,8,2 8,352
TRIO
2,4,8 1,738
FIRST 4
2,4,8,9 2,395
QUARTET
4,8,2,9 50,222
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A3 —
A2 —