Sha Tin · 2021-07-01
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-01 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TELECOM MISSILE, ridden by N Callan and trained by C Fownes, won by NOSE, with VOYAGE STAR second and ONE STEP AHEAD third. The 4.0 favourite ONE STEP AHEAD finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TELECOM MISSILE TT 1.09.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 6 | 6.3 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 7 | 4.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLDEN MISSION B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | FOR FUN'S SAKE E/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | GARLIC HERO E/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 6.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ALLOY KING B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 67.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | JUNGLE BLAZE B1/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 1 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 8 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 5 | 68.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | WAYFOONG STAR SR T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 10 |
| — | 5 | M M JOHNNY B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 22.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 32.3% | 3.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 22.4% | 4.46 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | VOYAGE STAR | 11.5% | 8.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | GARLIC HERO | 9.6% | 10.40 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | TELECOM MISSILE | 6.5% | 15.49 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLDEN MISSION | 4.3% | 23.42 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | WAYFOONG STAR | 3.3% | 30.16 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 3.0% | 33.15 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | JUNGLE BLAZE | 2.8% | 35.80 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | ALLOY KING | 2.3% | 43.18 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | LUCKY TURBO | 2.0% | 50.14 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 63.5
PLACE
1 16
9 24
11 15.5
QUINELLA
1,9 149
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 61.5
1,11 43.5
9,11 55
FORECAST
9,1 321
TIERCE
9,1,11 1,606
TRIO
1,9,11 256
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 450
QUARTET
9,1,11,8 11,441
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 82
4/9 439
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 18.5