沙田 · 2021-09-05
第 4場
2021-09-05沙田第4場，Class 1，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的NABOO ATTACK勝出，贏出1。LUCKY PATCH獲得亞軍；DUKE WAI獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NABOO ATTACK 1.08.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | DUKE WAI B/H Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | WINNING DREAMER TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | WISHFUL THINKER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SHINING ACE B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | RATTAN B2/TT1 C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 9 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | BUDDIES H M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 140.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | ELUSIVE STATE B/TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 4 | 183.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 3 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 1 | AMAZING STAR V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 5 | 51.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY PATCH | 21.9% | 4.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | NABOO ATTACK | 19.0% | 5.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 9.5% | 10.55 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | WINNING DREAMER | 9.2% | 10.85 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | DUKE WAI | 8.9% | 11.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SHINING ACE | 5.9% | 16.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 5.8% | 17.29 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 4.7% | 21.18 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | ELUSIVE STATE | 4.4% | 22.68 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | RATTAN | 3.4% | 29.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | BUDDIES | 2.8% | 35.83 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | AMAZING STAR | 2.5% | 40.71 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | WISHFUL THINKER | 2.1% | 48.38 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 27.5
PLACE
2 15.5
4 24
12 15
QUINELLA
2,12 66
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 54
2,12 29.5
4,12 54.5
FORECAST
12,2 130
TIERCE
12,2,4 514
TRIO
2,4,12 140
FIRST 4
2,4,8,12 107
QUARTET
12,2,4,8 1,315
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,12/2,4,12 2,754
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 13.5
1/12 44