Sha Tin · 2021-09-05
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NABOO ATTACK 1.08.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | DUKE WAI B/H Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SHINING ACE B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RATTAN B2/TT1 C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 9 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BUDDIES H M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 140.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | ELUSIVE STATE B/TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 4 | 183.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 3 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | AMAZING STAR V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 5 | 51.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-05 was Class 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NABOO ATTACK, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1, with LUCKY PATCH second and DUKE WAI third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH | 21.9% | 4.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | NABOO ATTACK | 19.0% | 5.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 9.5% | 10.55 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER | 9.2% | 10.85 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 8.9% | 11.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINING ACE | 5.9% | 16.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 5.8% | 17.29 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 4.7% | 21.18 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ELUSIVE STATE | 4.4% | 22.68 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | RATTAN | 3.4% | 29.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | BUDDIES | 2.8% | 35.83 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING STAR | 2.5% | 40.71 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER | 2.1% | 48.38 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 27.5
PLACE
2 15.5
4 24
12 15
QUINELLA
2,12 66
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 54
2,12 29.5
4,12 54.5
FORECAST
12,2 130
TIERCE
12,2,4 514
TRIO
2,4,12 140
FIRST 4
2,4,8,12 107
QUARTET
12,2,4,8 1,315
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,12/2,4,12 2,754
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 13.5
1/12 44