Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-09-05

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT 1.21.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 7 4.4 1/2
2 0 LUCKY FUN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum 2 3.0 1/2
3 0 FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 53.0 3/4
4 0 HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 13 3.5 1-3/4
5 0 PARTERRE Led early B L Ferraris · A T Millard 12 41.0 2-1/4
6 0 SUPER OASIS C L Chau · K W Lui 9 9.5 3
7 0 BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly E/TT B Shinn · J Size 8 8.8 4-1/4
8 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT2 M Chadwick · C H Yip 4 23.0 4-1/4
9 0 PRESENCE H- C Y Ho · F C Lor 3 51.0 6
10 0 NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B V Borges · K W Lui 6 50.0 6-3/4
11 0 MISSION BRAVO M F Poon · K H Ting 10 85.0 9-3/4
12 0 LINCOLN BRIGHT H/XB/TT H N Wong · R Gibson 11 305.0 9-3/4
13 0 ROYAL AGILITY TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 1 182.0 14-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-05 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STAR PERFORMANCE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with LUCKY FUN second and FEARLESS FIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite LUCKY FUN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STAR PERFORMANCE—2. LUCKY FUN+0.5L3. FEARLESS FIRE+0.75L4. HALL OF CHAMP+1.75L5. PARTERRE+2.25L6. SUPER OASIS+3L7. BEAUTY LEGACY+4.25L8. KASI FARASI+4.25L9. PRESENCE+6L10. NOBLE STEED+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LUCKY FUN (33.5%) finished 2nd — the winner STAR PERFORMANCE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LUCKY FUN 33.5% 2.99 2
2 0 HALL OF CHAMP 13.1% 7.61 4
3 0 SUPER OASIS 11.8% 8.50 6
4 0 STAR PERFORMANCE 9.3% 10.74 1
5 0 PRESENCE 7.5% 13.40 9
6 0 KASI FARASI 6.0% 16.66 8
7 0 BEAUTY LEGACY 5.1% 19.64 7
8 0 NOBLE STEED 3.9% 25.32 10
9 0 PARTERRE 3.2% 31.04 5
10 0 MISSION BRAVO 3.1% 31.77 11
11 0 FEARLESS FIRE 1.5% 67.35 3
12 0 ROYAL AGILITY 1.4% 71.16 13
13 0 LINCOLN BRIGHT 0.5% 184.66 12
LUCKY FUNHALL OF CHAMPSUPER OASISSTAR PERFORMANCE — wonPRESENCEKASI FARASIBEAUTY LEGACYNOBLE STEEDPARTERREMISSION BRAVOFEARLESS FIREROYAL AGILITYLINCOLN BRIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 44

PLACE

3 13.5

9 16.5

11 85.5

QUINELLA

3,9 84.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 32.5

3,11 201.5

9,11 244.5

FORECAST

9,3 176

TIERCE

9,3,11 3,996

TRIO

3,9,11 917

FIRST 4

2,3,9,11 417

QUARTET

9,3,11,2 12,029

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 19.5

A2 —

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

8/3 21

8/9 173