Sha Tin · 2021-09-05
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-05 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STAR PERFORMANCE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with LUCKY FUN second and FEARLESS FIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite LUCKY FUN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT 1.21.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | LUCKY FUN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 53.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PARTERRE Led early B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 12 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER OASIS C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly E/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 8 | 8.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT2 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 4 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PRESENCE H- C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 6 | 50.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MISSION BRAVO M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 10 | 85.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LINCOLN BRIGHT H/XB/TT H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 11 | 305.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | ROYAL AGILITY TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 182.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY FUN | 33.5% | 2.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HALL OF CHAMP | 13.1% | 7.61 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER OASIS | 11.8% | 8.50 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 9.3% | 10.74 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | PRESENCE | 7.5% | 13.40 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | KASI FARASI | 6.0% | 16.66 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 5.1% | 19.64 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | NOBLE STEED | 3.9% | 25.32 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | PARTERRE | 3.2% | 31.04 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | MISSION BRAVO | 3.1% | 31.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.5% | 67.35 | 3 |
| 12 | 13 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.4% | 71.16 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | LINCOLN BRIGHT | 0.5% | 184.66 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44
PLACE
3 13.5
9 16.5
11 85.5
QUINELLA
3,9 84.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 32.5
3,11 201.5
9,11 244.5
FORECAST
9,3 176
TIERCE
9,3,11 3,996
TRIO
3,9,11 917
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 417
QUARTET
9,3,11,2 12,029
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
8/3 21
8/9 173