Sha Tin · 2021-09-05
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-05 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2-1/4, with MISTER SNOWDON second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | MISTER SNOWDON Closed strongly SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Closed strongly M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | THE ROCK Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 6 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ZEBROWSKI Closed strongly M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 102.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | MASTER MONTARO Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 13 | 4.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ASSIMILATE Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 45.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 68.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | E STAR C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 1 | 7.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | KILINDINI TT1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 12 | 81.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | MR CROISSANT CP H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 122.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | ROMAN TURBO Led early SR/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 6.1 | 62-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER MONTARO | 13.4% | 7.46 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 12.3% | 8.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | E STAR | 10.7% | 9.34 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | THE ROCK | 10.6% | 9.44 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 10.6% | 9.45 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 10.5% | 9.51 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | MISTER SNOWDON | 9.7% | 10.32 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | ROMAN TURBO | 9.2% | 10.83 | 13 |
| 9 | 13 | REGENCY BO BO | 4.0% | 25.18 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | KILINDINI | 2.9% | 35.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | ASSIMILATE | 2.3% | 43.15 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | ZEBROWSKI | 2.1% | 47.33 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | MR CROISSANT | 1.7% | 59.07 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 40.5
PLACE
2 17.5
9 20
11 41
QUINELLA
2,9 126
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 52
2,11 102.5
9,11 148
FORECAST
2,9 239
TIERCE
2,9,11 2,159
TRIO
2,9,11 663
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 1,977
QUARTET
2,9,11,1 29,976
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,11/2,9,11 50,180
9TH DOUBLE
9/2 165.5
9/9 34.5
SIX UP
1/6/9/8/9/2 82,574
1,8/6,7/9,11/2,8/3,9/2,9 2,141
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
8/9/2 811
8/9/9 183