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Sha Tin · 2021-09-05

Race 2

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course A 8 runners

Result

Official · 0.56.01
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FIRST RESPONDER B 0.56.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte 3 7.5 N
2 0 ROCK YA HEART C Y Ho · K W Lui 2 47.0 N
3 0 QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT Z Purton · D J Hall 4 3.5 1/2
4 0 CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 5 8.6 1/2
5 0 SUPER AXIOM XB-/SR/TT C Schofield · D A Hayes 8 3.0 3/4
6 0 GOOD VIEW CLARICO H Bentley · C H Yip 1 9.7 2-1/2
7 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON H-/TT A Badel · W Y So 7 7.3 5-1/4
8 0 GREEN AEON H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 10.0 7-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-05 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FIRST RESPONDER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with ROCK YA HEART second and QUADRUPLE DOUBLE third. The 3.0 favourite SUPER AXIOM finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FIRST RESPONDER—2. ROCK YA HEART+0.05L3. QUADRUPLE DOUBLE+0.5L4. CALIFORNIA CONCORD+0.5L5. SUPER AXIOM+0.75L6. GOOD VIEW CLARICO+2.5L7. SUPER WIN DRAGON+5.25L8. GREEN AEON+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick FIRST RESPONDER (26.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FIRST RESPONDER 26.3% 3.81 1
2 0 GOOD VIEW CLARICO 18.9% 5.28 6
3 0 QUADRUPLE DOUBLE 16.6% 6.04 3
4 0 GREEN AEON 13.4% 7.47 8
5 0 CALIFORNIA CONCORD 11.4% 8.74 4
6 0 SUPER AXIOM 5.9% 17.02 5
7 0 ROCK YA HEART 3.8% 26.46 2
8 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON 3.7% 26.80 7
FIRST RESPONDER — wonGOOD VIEW CLARICOQUADRUPLE DOUBLEGREEN AEONCALIFORNIA CONCORDSUPER AXIOMROCK YA HEARTSUPER WIN DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 75.5

PLACE

4 13

5 20

6 89

QUINELLA

5,6 1,377.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 42.5

4,6 190

5,6 303.5

FORECAST

5,6 2,619

TIERCE

5,6,4 8,545

TRIO

4,5,6 1,136

FIRST 4

3,4,5,6 1,277

QUARTET

5,6,4,3 38,552

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

12/5 751

12/6 1,341.5

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 26

A3 —