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Sha Tin · 2021-09-05

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 11 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VIVA HUNTER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with VOYAGE STAR second and SUNNY BABY third. The 3.2 favourite VOYAGE STAR finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.09.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 VIVA HUNTER 1.09.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 1 10.0 1-1/4
2 11 VOYAGE STAR V/TT K Teetan · T P Yung 2 3.2 1-1/4
3 10 SUNNY BABY B- M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 26.0 2-1/2
4 8 SMART WONGCHOY CP/H A Badel · D J Whyte 8 3.9 2-3/4
5 1 TURBO POWER C L Chau · K W Lui 11 7.2 4
6 2 TURQUOISE ALPHA CP Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 4 19.0 4
7 3 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE TT C Schofield · R Gibson 6 11.0 4
8 6 TELECOM CHEETAH B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 3 144.0 4-1/2
9 7 TOUCH FAITH B J Moreira · J Size 9 5.7 4-1/2
10 5 PACKING KINGDOM TT M F Poon · C S Shum 10 22.0 5-1/2
11 4 LEAN LEGEND XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 7 172.0 14-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIVA HUNTER2. VOYAGE STAR+1.25L3. SUNNY BABY+2.5L4. SMART WONGCHOY+2.75L5. TURBO POWER+4L6. TURQUOISE ALPHA+4L7. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE+4L8. TELECOM CHEETAH+4.5L9. TOUCH FAITH+4.5L10. PACKING KINGDOM+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick TURBO POWER (22.2%) finished 5th — the winner VIVA HUNTER was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 TURBO POWER 22.2% 4.51 5
2 11 VOYAGE STAR 18.1% 5.51 2
3 7 TOUCH FAITH 17.4% 5.73 9
4 2 TURQUOISE ALPHA 15.5% 6.45 6
5 8 SMART WONGCHOY 12.1% 8.23 4
6 9 VIVA HUNTER 4.5% 22.33 1
7 3 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 3.5% 28.52 7
8 5 PACKING KINGDOM 2.4% 41.01 10
9 10 SUNNY BABY 2.4% 42.29 3
10 6 TELECOM CHEETAH 1.1% 93.07 8
11 4 LEAN LEGEND 0.8% 132.90 11
TURBO POWERVOYAGE STARTOUCH FAITHTURQUOISE ALPHASMART WONGCHOYVIVA HUNTER — wonPRESIDENT'S CHOICEPACKING KINGDOMSUNNY BABYTELECOM CHEETAHLEAN LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 101

PLACE

9 27.5

10 61

11 14

QUINELLA

9,11 149.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 294.5

9,11 54

10,11 111

FORECAST

9,11 368

TIERCE

9,11,10 5,113

TRIO

9,10,11 987

FIRST 4

8,9,10,11 573

QUARTET

9,11,10,8 19,701

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,9/9,10,11 102,865

3 PICK 1

A3 41

A2

A1

6TH DOUBLE

6/9 119.5

6/11 12