Sha Tin · 2021-09-05
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B 1.34.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FAST PACE Closed strongly H J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 7.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | RED ELYSEES B L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 9 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly XB-/H/TT- C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 14 | 8.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLETPROOF TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. EZRA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/2, with BEAUTY SPIRIT second and DRAGON COMMANDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite FAST PACE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAST PACE | 17.6% | 5.67 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | EL JEFE | 13.7% | 7.29 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | EZRA | 11.5% | 8.66 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 10.5% | 9.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 6.6% | 15.20 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 6.4% | 15.68 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.2% | 16.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 5.9% | 17.06 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 5.8% | 17.23 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.19 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 4.5% | 22.14 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 3.6% | 28.13 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 2.5% | 39.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 47
PLACE
2 49.5
8 18
10 34.5
QUINELLA
2,8 405.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 144
2,10 424.5
8,10 125
FORECAST
8,2 869
TIERCE
8,2,10 10,569
TRIO
2,8,10 1,693
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 2,228
QUARTET
8,2,10,4 68,859
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22
7TH DOUBLE
9/2 276
9/8 499