沙田 · 2021-09-05
第 5場
2021-09-05沙田第5場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Maia策騎、D A Hayes訓練的LUCKY MARYKNOLL勝出，贏出1-1/4。SPEEDY DRAGON獲得亞軍；ONE STEP AHEAD獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門ZACIAN跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT 1.09.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 7 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SPEEDY DRAGON B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 3 | 27.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT- J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 14 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | ZACIAN B/TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 12 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | VECTOR H-/B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 80.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | ONE HAPPY STAR K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LUCKY PUZZLE SR K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | CENTENARY IBIS B/XB/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 13 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | MANY GAINS CP M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 2 | 89.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SUNNY SMILE TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 8 | 111.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 14.6% | 6.85 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | ZACIAN | 12.6% | 7.91 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER | 9.0% | 11.14 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 8.3% | 12.03 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 5.5% | 18.11 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 5.5% | 18.24 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 5.2% | 19.36 | 10 |
| 9 | 14 | MANY GAINS | 4.6% | 21.81 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | CENTENARY IBIS | 4.1% | 24.11 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | DAY DAY RICH | 4.1% | 24.66 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 2.9% | 34.50 | 2 |
| 13 | 5 | VECTOR | 2.2% | 46.01 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | SUNNY SMILE | 1.1% | 88.04 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 83.5
PLACE
1 26
8 72
13 22.5
QUINELLA
1,8 1,157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 350
1,13 126
8,13 298.5
FORECAST
1,8 1,770
TIERCE
1,8,13 13,417
TRIO
1,8,13 2,394
FIRST 4
1,4,8,13 3,599
QUARTET
1,8,13,4 87,364
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 28
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/1 155.5
12/8 139