跑馬地 · 2021-09-08
第 7場
2021-09-08跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、A T Millard訓練的RESOLUTE勝出，贏出NOSE。HEART CONQUERED獲得亞軍；WINE AND WINE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RESOLUTE B 0.56.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 3 | 1.8 | NOSE |
| 2 | 6 | HEART CONQUERED T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 4 | 10.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 4 | WINE AND WINE TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 5 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 58.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | TELECOM SMART CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | YOUNG PASSION H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 6 | 227.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | TRADER B/TT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 8 | 5.3 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | OUR CREED B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 36.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RESOLUTE | 19.5% | 5.14 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | WILD WEST WING | 12.8% | 7.81 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING GENIUS | 11.0% | 9.08 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | WINE AND WINE | 10.4% | 9.64 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | HEART CONQUERED | 9.1% | 10.96 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | TELECOM SMART | 8.0% | 12.56 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 6.9% | 14.41 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH | 6.8% | 14.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 6.5% | 15.30 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | TRADER | 6.5% | 15.36 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | YOUNG PASSION | 2.0% | 50.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | OUR CREED | 0.5% | 192.80 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 18.5
PLACE
3 11.5
4 77.5
6 23.5
QUINELLA
3,6 78
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 121.5
3,6 34
4,6 372.5
FORECAST
3,6 105
TIERCE
3,6,4 1,926
TRIO
3,4,6 637
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 3,826
QUARTET
3,6,4,8 25,293
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
8/3 303
8/6 192