跑馬地 · 2021-09-08
第 2場
2021-09-08跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、L Ho訓練的WOOD ON FIRE勝出，贏出3/4。MELBOURNE HALL獲得亞軍；MANAGEMENT SUPREME獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門MANAGEMENT SUPREME跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT 1.09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 9 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL H-/XB C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 5 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | CHATER PINS XB-/B1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | TAKINGUFURTHER V H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | DESTIN B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY PROFIT CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | MAN UP XB/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 8 | 147.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 8.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 10 | 7.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 20.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY PROFIT | 21.7% | 4.61 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 17.6% | 5.68 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 14.1% | 7.08 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 10.9% | 9.19 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 6.7% | 14.92 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | CHATER PINS | 6.5% | 15.46 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | DESTIN | 5.4% | 18.49 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | DAILY BEAUTY | 5.3% | 18.97 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 4.2% | 23.99 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.9% | 25.43 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 2.5% | 39.48 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | MAN UP | 1.2% | 85.09 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 163
PLACE
2 43
3 15.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
2,9 394.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 90.5
2,9 121
3,9 43.5
FORECAST
2,9 779
TIERCE
2,9,3 4,404
TRIO
2,3,9 543
FIRST 4
2,3,8,9 997
QUARTET
2,9,3,8 35,506
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/2 483.5
10/9 53
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 22
A2 —