跑馬地 · 2021-09-08
第 5場
2021-09-08跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的JAZZ STEED勝出，贏出1/2。PARTY WARRIOR獲得亞軍；INFINITY WIN獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門INFINITY WIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JAZZ STEED TT 0.56.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | INFINITY WIN Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | JOYFUL WIN B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | NOIR RIDER B1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | REGENCY STAR B- C Schofield · C S Shum | C Schofield | C S Shum | 3 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | PACKING CHAMPION H/P H N Wong · L Ho | H N Wong | L Ho | 5 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 1 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | BOOMING WELL XB1/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 219.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | TRAVEL DATUK B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 10 | 66.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | INFINITY WIN | 30.0% | 3.33 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER | 13.3% | 7.55 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | JOYFUL WIN | 9.9% | 10.15 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR | 9.3% | 10.75 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION | 9.0% | 11.17 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 7.3% | 13.75 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | JAZZ STEED | 7.1% | 14.11 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | NOIR RIDER | 5.9% | 17.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | TRAVEL DATUK | 2.5% | 39.92 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | PACKING CHAMPION | 2.2% | 45.34 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | REGENCY STAR | 2.0% | 50.03 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | BOOMING WELL | 1.7% | 57.59 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 126.5
PLACE
2 30.5
3 16.5
4 13
QUINELLA
2,3 325
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 95
2,4 51
3,4 29.5
FORECAST
2,3 692
TIERCE
2,3,4 2,116
TRIO
2,3,4 234
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 250
QUARTET
2,3,4,1 9,677
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 36
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 298.5
9/3 17