沙田 · 2021-10-01
第 2場
2021-10-01沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、D A Hayes訓練的LORD THUNDER勝出，贏出4。E BROTHER獲得亞軍；YOUNG VICTORY獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LORD THUNDER XB/TT 1.09.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 1.9 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | E BROTHER TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | DURHAM STAR Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 6.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | PRIDE OF DRAGON K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | MONSTER KAKA TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 9.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HK DRAGON B/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | AMAZING TEENS H1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SPARTAN MISSILE L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 11 | 72.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL XB1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | STAR OF GLORY H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 4 | 137.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | COOLCELEB B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 6 | 134.0 | 21-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LORD THUNDER | 22.7% | 4.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | AMAZING TEENS | 18.5% | 5.41 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | DURHAM STAR | 16.9% | 5.93 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 9.7% | 10.27 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | HK DRAGON | 8.7% | 11.55 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | MONSTER KAKA | 7.4% | 13.45 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY | 7.4% | 13.53 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | COOLCELEB | 2.8% | 35.19 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | SPARTAN MISSILE | 2.4% | 42.01 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 2.1% | 47.34 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | E BROTHER | 0.9% | 112.64 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | STAR OF GLORY | 0.5% | 185.87 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 19.5
PLACE
2 12
10 29
12 21
QUINELLA
2,10 191.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 62.5
2,12 32.5
10,12 140.5
FORECAST
2,10 164
TIERCE
2,10,12 1,289
TRIO
2,10,12 407
FIRST 4
2,9,10,12 358
QUARTET
2,10,12,9 5,329
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 29
5/10 199.5
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —