沙田 · 2021-10-01
第 8場
2021-10-01沙田第8場，Group 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SUPER WEALTHY勝出，贏出3/4。SKY FIELD獲得亞軍；LUCKY PATCH獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門LUCKY PATCH跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER WEALTHY 0.54.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SKY FIELD TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 14 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | STRONGER SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 13 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | HONG KONG WIN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | VALIANT DREAM H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 1 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR B1 R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WISHFUL THINKER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | AMAZING STAR L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 87.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY MORE CP1/XB1 H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 9 | 58.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 12 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 57.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY PATCH | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER WEALTHY | 14.5% | 6.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 12.1% | 8.24 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | HONG KONG WIN | 11.8% | 8.48 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH | 8.6% | 11.58 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | STRONGER | 5.8% | 17.20 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 4.0% | 24.78 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | VALIANT DREAM | 3.5% | 28.83 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 3.1% | 32.05 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY MORE | 2.7% | 36.52 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | PING HAI BRAVO | 2.5% | 39.36 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | WISHFUL THINKER | 2.2% | 45.85 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.86 | 8 |
| 14 | 2 | AMAZING STAR | 2.0% | 49.78 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 52.5
PLACE
1 33
6 15
9 19
QUINELLA
1,9 276.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 74
1,9 89.5
6,9 35.5
FORECAST
9,1 724
TIERCE
9,1,6 1,798
TRIO
1,6,9 248
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 239
QUARTET
9,1,6,3 6,711
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 75
2/9 275.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B1 —
B3 —
B4 15