Sha Tin · 2021-10-01
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-01 was Group 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WEALTHY, ridden by A Badel and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with SKY FIELD second and LUCKY PATCH third. The 3.3 favourite LUCKY PATCH finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER WEALTHY 0.54.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SKY FIELD TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 14 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | STRONGER SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 13 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | HONG KONG WIN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | VALIANT DREAM H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 1 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR B1 R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WISHFUL THINKER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | AMAZING STAR L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 87.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY MORE CP1/XB1 H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 9 | 58.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 12 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 57.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY PATCH | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER WEALTHY | 14.5% | 6.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 12.1% | 8.24 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | HONG KONG WIN | 11.8% | 8.48 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH | 8.6% | 11.58 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | STRONGER | 5.8% | 17.20 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 4.0% | 24.78 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | VALIANT DREAM | 3.5% | 28.83 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 3.1% | 32.05 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY MORE | 2.7% | 36.52 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | PING HAI BRAVO | 2.5% | 39.36 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | WISHFUL THINKER | 2.2% | 45.85 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.86 | 8 |
| 14 | 2 | AMAZING STAR | 2.0% | 49.78 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 52.5
PLACE
1 33
6 15
9 19
QUINELLA
1,9 276.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 74
1,9 89.5
6,9 35.5
FORECAST
9,1 724
TIERCE
9,1,6 1,798
TRIO
1,6,9 248
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 239
QUARTET
9,1,6,3 6,711
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 75
2/9 275.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B1 —
B3 —
B4 15