Sha Tin · 2021-10-01
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-01 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASTER MONTARO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with BEAUTY FIT second and SEA OF LIFE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite MISTER SNOWDON finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO Closed strongly CP 1.21.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | SEA OF LIFE Closed strongly V C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | MISTER SNOWDON SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | SCORES OF FUN Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 5 | 49.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MR CROISSANT CP H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 103.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 4 | 90.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS Led early E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 3.8 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | AMAZING ONE PLUS P/XB/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 23.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MISTER SNOWDON | 20.4% | 4.91 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 19.8% | 5.04 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | MASTER MONTARO | 18.4% | 5.43 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 13.5% | 7.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | BEAUTY FIT | 9.7% | 10.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SCORES OF FUN | 5.2% | 19.24 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | SEA OF LIFE | 4.6% | 21.69 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | REGENCY BO BO | 4.4% | 22.50 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 2.7% | 36.36 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | MR CROISSANT | 1.2% | 86.51 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 49
PLACE
2 16.5
6 32.5
10 40
QUINELLA
2,6 330.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 99.5
2,10 96.5
6,10 233.5
FORECAST
2,6 561
TIERCE
2,6,10 4,822
TRIO
2,6,10 1,168
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 652
QUARTET
2,6,10,4 19,659
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,10/2,6,10 128,103
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22.5
6TH DOUBLE
3/2 477
3/6 305.5