Sha Tin · 2021-10-01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD NEWS TT1 1.09.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 1.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 6.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MEGA BONUS XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 9.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG PASSION H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 6 | 126.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FOREVER TT1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 206.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WITTY SCHOLAR R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 9 | 119.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | STRATHMORETOO K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 10 | 31.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES B1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 161.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD NEWS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by N, with MY ECSTATIC second and MEGA BONUS third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC | 29.6% | 3.38 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD NEWS | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH | 13.4% | 7.48 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT | 11.3% | 8.84 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 11.2% | 8.92 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | STRATHMORETOO | 4.6% | 21.81 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | MEGA BONUS | 3.6% | 27.92 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | YOUNG PASSION | 2.2% | 45.16 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | WITTY SCHOLAR | 1.6% | 61.92 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.2% | 85.53 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | FOREVER | 1.1% | 89.08 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 14
PLACE
1 14
5 11
10 40
QUINELLA
1,5 36.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 18.5
1,10 115.5
5,10 53.5
FORECAST
5,1 47
TIERCE
5,1,10 475
TRIO
1,5,10 205
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 256
QUARTET
5,1,10,3 2,304
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 11.5
A2 —