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Sha Tin · 2021-10-01

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B 1.35.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · W Y So 8 9.1 3/4
2 0 SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB Z Purton · K W Lui 6 5.5 3/4
3 0 GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui 5 15.0 2-3/4
4 0 JOY MASTER Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 12.0 2-3/4
5 0 SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B M F Poon · T P Yung 3 15.0 4
6 0 RED IMPACT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 9 14.0 4-1/2
7 0 JOYFUL HEART CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 1 4.9 5-1/2
8 0 WINNING STEED B/H M Chadwick · C H Yip 2 10.0 5-1/2
9 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B M L Yeung · P F Yiu 4 36.0 6
10 0 SPEED FAY FAY B C L Chau · T P Yung 7 3.1 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER ERA, ridden by V Borges and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SUPER FAST second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite SPEED FAY FAY finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER ERA—2. SUPER FAST+0.75L3. GO GO SIXTEEN+2.75L4. JOY MASTER+2.75L5. SHANGHAI DRAGON+4L6. RED IMPACT+4.5L7. JOYFUL HEART+5.5L8. WINNING STEED+5.5L9. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+6L10. SPEED FAY FAY+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SUPER FAST (24.7%) finished 2nd — the winner COPARTNER ERA was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER FAST 24.7% 4.06 2
2 0 JOYFUL HEART 14.2% 7.06 7
3 0 SPEED FAY FAY 13.7% 7.29 10
4 0 RED IMPACT 10.6% 9.42 6
5 0 JOY MASTER 9.7% 10.30 4
6 0 WINNING STEED 8.3% 12.03 8
7 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 6.5% 15.39 3
8 0 SHANGHAI DRAGON 5.8% 17.22 5
9 0 COPARTNER ERA 4.4% 22.99 1
10 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 2.2% 45.67 9
SUPER FASTJOYFUL HEARTSPEED FAY FAYRED IMPACTJOY MASTERWINNING STEEDGO GO SIXTEENSHANGHAI DRAGONCOPARTNER ERA — wonWINWIN THIRTYTHREE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 91.5

PLACE

2 18.5

5 24.5

7 55.5

QUINELLA

2,5 241.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 88

2,7 177.5

5,7 204.5

FORECAST

5,2 637

TIERCE

5,2,7 7,804

TRIO

2,5,7 1,211

FIRST 4

2,5,7,9 3,234

QUARTET

5,2,7,9 67,847

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

2/2 51

2/5 161.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 29

A1 —