Sha Tin · 2021-10-01
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER ERA, ridden by V Borges and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SUPER FAST second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite SPEED FAY FAY finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B 1.35.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | RED IMPACT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | JOYFUL HEART CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 4.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | WINNING STEED B/H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 4 | 36.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | SPEED FAY FAY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 3.1 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER FAST | 24.7% | 4.06 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | JOYFUL HEART | 14.2% | 7.06 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | SPEED FAY FAY | 13.7% | 7.29 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | RED IMPACT | 10.6% | 9.42 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | JOY MASTER | 9.7% | 10.30 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING STEED | 8.3% | 12.03 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.5% | 15.39 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 5.8% | 17.22 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA | 4.4% | 22.99 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 2.2% | 45.67 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 91.5
PLACE
2 18.5
5 24.5
7 55.5
QUINELLA
2,5 241.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 88
2,7 177.5
5,7 204.5
FORECAST
5,2 637
TIERCE
5,2,7 7,804
TRIO
2,5,7 1,211
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 3,234
QUARTET
5,2,7,9 67,847
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 51
2/5 161.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 29
A1 —