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Sha Tin · 2021-10-01

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 XIANG YIN Closed strongly TT 1.21.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor 6 10.0 2
2 0 COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 4 9.7 2
3 0 ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 10 3.2 3
4 0 LAPUTA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 29.0 3-3/4
5 0 KUNG FU TEA B K C Leung · D J Hall 7 5.9 4-1/4
6 0 THUNDERSTRIKE H H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 14.0 4-1/2
7 0 AMIGOS GIGGLE Led early B-/CP1 B Shinn · C W Chang 14 7.1 5
8 0 UNIVERSAL HERO Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 11 204.0 6-1/4
9 0 BRILLIANT CHINA B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 3 9.6 6-1/2
10 0 HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly TT V Borges · C H Yip 12 76.0 6-1/2
11 0 CASIMIRO Closed strongly C L Chau · P O'Sullivan 13 10.0 6-3/4
12 0 EASY FORTUNE CP M L Yeung · K H Ting 8 25.0 7-1/2
13 0 DAILY BEAUTY B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes 1 78.0 9
14 0 GALLANT CAVALIER B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard 2 48.0 15-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. XIANG YIN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with COUNTRY BOY second and ROMANTIC COMBO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite ROMANTIC COMBO finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. XIANG YIN—2. COUNTRY BOY+2L3. ROMANTIC COMBO+3L4. LAPUTA+3.75L5. KUNG FU TEA+4.25L6. THUNDERSTRIKE+4.5L7. AMIGOS GIGGLE+5L8. UNIVERSAL HERO+6.25L9. BRILLIANT CHINA+6.5L10. HAPPY WIN WIN+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ROMANTIC COMBO (17.3%) finished 3rd — the winner XIANG YIN was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROMANTIC COMBO 17.3% 5.79 3
2 0 AMIGOS GIGGLE 14.6% 6.84 7
3 0 COUNTRY BOY 11.7% 8.57 2
4 0 KUNG FU TEA 10.2% 9.78 5
5 0 XIANG YIN 9.7% 10.30 1
6 0 BRILLIANT CHINA 9.5% 10.50 9
7 0 CASIMIRO 6.7% 15.02 11
8 0 LAPUTA 4.5% 22.11 4
9 0 THUNDERSTRIKE 4.2% 23.83 6
10 0 EASY FORTUNE 3.6% 27.76 12
11 0 DAILY BEAUTY 3.4% 29.81 13
12 0 HAPPY WIN WIN 2.5% 39.67 10
13 0 UNIVERSAL HERO 1.3% 79.96 8
14 0 GALLANT CAVALIER 0.9% 113.55 14
ROMANTIC COMBOAMIGOS GIGGLECOUNTRY BOYKUNG FU TEAXIANG YIN — wonBRILLIANT CHINACASIMIROLAPUTATHUNDERSTRIKEEASY FORTUNEDAILY BEAUTYHAPPY WIN WINUNIVERSAL HEROGALLANT CAVALIER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 100.5

PLACE

2 16

3 29

10 34

QUINELLA

3,10 497.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 73.5

2,10 84

3,10 166.5

FORECAST

3,10 1,074

TIERCE

3,10,2 4,783

TRIO

2,3,10 733

FIRST 4

2,3,7,10 3,456

QUARTET

3,10,2,7 89,777

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 33.5

A1 —

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

8/3 135

8/10 26

TRIPLE TRIO

1,10,14/2,6,8/2,3,10 2,641,637

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,10,14/2,6,8/Any Combination 52,832