沙田 · 2021-10-01
第 6場
2021-10-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、F C Lor訓練的XIANG YIN勝出，贏出2。COUNTRY BOY獲得亞軍；ROMANTIC COMBO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門ROMANTIC COMBO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | XIANG YIN 後段發力 TT 1.21.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | ROMANTIC COMBO 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 10 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | LAPUTA 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | KUNG FU TEA B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 7 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | THUNDERSTRIKE H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | AMIGOS GIGGLE 早段領放 B-/CP1 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 14 | 7.1 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HERO 後段發力 A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 11 | 204.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | BRILLIANT CHINA B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 9.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 12 | 76.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | CASIMIRO 後段發力 C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | EASY FORTUNE CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 78.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | GALLANT CAVALIER B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 2 | 48.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 17.3% | 5.79 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 14.6% | 6.84 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | COUNTRY BOY | 11.7% | 8.57 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | KUNG FU TEA | 10.2% | 9.78 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | XIANG YIN | 9.7% | 10.30 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 9.5% | 10.50 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | CASIMIRO | 6.7% | 15.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | LAPUTA | 4.5% | 22.11 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 4.2% | 23.83 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | EASY FORTUNE | 3.6% | 27.76 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.4% | 29.81 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 2.5% | 39.67 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 1.3% | 79.96 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 0.9% | 113.55 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 100.5
PLACE
2 16
3 29
10 34
QUINELLA
3,10 497.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 73.5
2,10 84
3,10 166.5
FORECAST
3,10 1,074
TIERCE
3,10,2 4,783
TRIO
2,3,10 733
FIRST 4
2,3,7,10 3,456
QUARTET
3,10,2,7 89,777
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 33.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/3 135
8/10 26
TRIPLE TRIO
1,10,14/2,6,8/2,3,10 2,641,637
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,10,14/2,6,8/Any Combination 52,832