沙田 · 2021-10-01
第 9場
2021-10-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的ALL FOR ST PAUL'S勝出，贏出1。TIANCHI MONSTER獲得亞軍；LEAP OF FAITH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門TIANCHI MONSTER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 後段發力 B 1.35.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | MR ALDAN 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HELENE ALLIBOR 後段發力 CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LAKESHORE EAGLE 後段發力 V/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 44.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | CHEERFUL DAYS B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 9 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY LAND XB/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 58.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | SOULMATE V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN WIN B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 9.4 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | MISSION BRAVO 早段領放 B1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 13 | 63.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | CAPTAIN TIGER TT1 R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 7 | 261.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | LEWIS B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 154.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH | 24.1% | 4.16 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 20.1% | 4.97 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 11.0% | 9.12 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | MR ALDAN | 10.1% | 9.91 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | SOULMATE | 9.3% | 10.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 6.3% | 15.86 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | WIN WIN | 4.9% | 20.22 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | KASI FARASI | 3.9% | 25.88 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 2.6% | 37.76 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY LAND | 2.2% | 45.90 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | LEWIS | 2.0% | 49.64 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 1.9% | 51.62 | 5 |
| 13 | 10 | MISSION BRAVO | 1.0% | 99.89 | 12 |
| 14 | 8 | CAPTAIN TIGER | 0.6% | 181.01 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 64.5
PLACE
3 26
4 19.5
5 17
QUINELLA
3,5 147
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 77
3,5 58.5
4,5 41.5
FORECAST
3,5 384
TIERCE
3,5,4 1,402
TRIO
3,4,5 220
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 771
QUARTET
3,5,4,9 21,102
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25
8TH DOUBLE
9/3 538.5
9/5 30.5