沙田 · 2021-10-01
第 10場
2021-10-01沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的DROPS OF GOD勝出，贏出1。BE READY獲得亞軍；QUADRUPLE DOUBLE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DROPS OF GOD 1.08.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BE READY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 24.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 3 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL B/H/XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MARVEL DRAGON TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 55.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY CP1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | THE RUNNER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | TRUST ME H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 4 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | SKY FOREVER TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 54.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER B-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 122.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE XB C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | WIND SPEEDER B B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 12 | 261.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 35.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DROPS OF GOD | 32.3% | 3.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 15.2% | 6.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 14.4% | 6.93 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | BE READY | 8.9% | 11.30 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL | 6.7% | 15.04 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY | 5.0% | 19.94 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | THE RUNNER | 4.6% | 21.73 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | TRUST ME | 4.6% | 21.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.2% | 31.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | MARVEL DRAGON | 2.1% | 47.23 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | SKY FOREVER | 2.0% | 49.02 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER | 0.7% | 138.22 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | WIND SPEEDER | 0.4% | 255.76 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 25
PLACE
1 61.5
2 14
4 21
QUINELLA
1,2 289
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 106
1,4 201
2,4 41
FORECAST
2,1 351
TIERCE
2,1,4 2,222
TRIO
1,2,4 647
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 793
QUARTET
2,1,4,5 11,551
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/1,2,4 9,777
9TH DOUBLE
3/1 254
3/2 281
SIX UP
2,8/3,10/2,6/1,9/3,5/1,2 5,601
8/3/2/9/3/2 60,820
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/3/1 2,073
9/3/2 1,644