Sha Tin · 2021-10-01
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Closed strongly B 1.35.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly V/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 44.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 9 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY LAND XB/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 58.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SOULMATE V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WIN WIN B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 9.4 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO Led early B1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 13 | 63.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CAPTAIN TIGER TT1 R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 7 | 261.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | LEWIS B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 154.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-01 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with TIANCHI MONSTER second and LEAP OF FAITH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite TIANCHI MONSTER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 24.1% | 4.16 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 20.1% | 4.97 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 11.0% | 9.12 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 10.1% | 9.91 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SOULMATE | 9.3% | 10.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 6.3% | 15.86 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | WIN WIN | 4.9% | 20.22 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 3.9% | 25.88 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 2.6% | 37.76 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY LAND | 2.2% | 45.90 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | LEWIS | 2.0% | 49.64 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 1.9% | 51.62 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 1.0% | 99.89 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | CAPTAIN TIGER | 0.6% | 181.01 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 64.5
PLACE
3 26
4 19.5
5 17
QUINELLA
3,5 147
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 77
3,5 58.5
4,5 41.5
FORECAST
3,5 384
TIERCE
3,5,4 1,402
TRIO
3,4,5 220
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 771
QUARTET
3,5,4,9 21,102
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25
8TH DOUBLE
9/3 538.5
9/5 30.5