沙田 · 2021-10-24
第 1場
2021-10-24沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUPER FORTUNE勝出，贏出2-3/4。CHEVAL VALIANT獲得亞軍；SOLAR PARTNER獲得季軍。頭馬以1.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER FORTUNE TT1 0.56.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 1.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT XB/B1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SOLAR PARTNER H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | DRAGON BABY E/B1/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 6 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | KA YING SPIRIT B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 5.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | AUGUST MOON BO M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 4 | 13.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MASTER OF FUN H/TT1 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 72.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | WONDERFUL FANTASY CP1 V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 10 | 280.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ASIAN ONE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 12 | 179.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 14 | 13.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | INTENTION H-/V1/TT1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 308.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 342.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SYMPHONY J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 24.0 | 41-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING SPIRIT | 29.5% | 3.39 | 5 |
| 2 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 14.5% | 6.90 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | SYMPHONY | 14.4% | 6.93 | 14 |
| 4 | 4 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 9.0% | 11.13 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER FORTUNE | 8.6% | 11.63 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | AUGUST MOON | 5.7% | 17.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 5.3% | 19.02 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | ASIAN ONE | 4.1% | 24.52 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | SOLAR PARTNER | 2.7% | 37.30 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | DRAGON BABY | 2.3% | 43.54 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | MASTER OF FUN | 2.2% | 45.63 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | WONDERFUL FANTASY | 0.7% | 150.44 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | INTENTION | 0.6% | 156.55 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE | 0.5% | 214.68 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 15
PLACE
6 93
7 11
9 47
QUINELLA
7,9 177
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 130
6,9 715
7,9 69.5
FORECAST
7,9 215
TIERCE
7,9,6 4,370
TRIO
6,7,9 1,446
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 7,900
QUARTET
7,9,6,2 76,862
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 11.5