沙田 · 2021-10-24
第 8場
2021-10-24沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的MASTER EIGHT勝出，贏出1-3/4。THE GOLDEN SCENERY獲得亞軍；TEAM SPIRIT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER EIGHT 1.08.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 1.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY CP-/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 11 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | GALLANT EXPRESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SCIENCE PATCH C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MAGIC PHOENIX H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 173.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | A LA KING B/TT1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | MOERAKI B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 53.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 40.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER EIGHT | 43.7% | 2.29 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 12.9% | 7.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS | 9.9% | 10.06 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 8.5% | 11.78 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 6.4% | 15.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | A LA KING | 4.1% | 24.29 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | MOERAKI | 3.5% | 28.79 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON | 3.2% | 31.71 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | SCIENCE PATCH | 2.9% | 34.32 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 2.7% | 36.94 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.2% | 82.56 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 1.1% | 92.35 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 13.5
PLACE
3 63.5
4 16
5 11
QUINELLA
4,5 37
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 212.5
3,5 90.5
4,5 19.5
FORECAST
5,4 40
TIERCE
5,4,3 583
TRIO
3,4,5 266
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 597
QUARTET
5,4,3,11 3,787
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 11.5
7TH DOUBLE
11/4 52.5
11/5 81