Sha Tin · 2021-10-24
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MASTER EIGHT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with THE GOLDEN SCENERY second and TEAM SPIRIT third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER EIGHT 1.08.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 1.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY CP-/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 11 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | GALLANT EXPRESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SCIENCE PATCH C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MAGIC PHOENIX H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 173.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | A LA KING B/TT1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | MOERAKI B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 53.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 40.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER EIGHT | 43.7% | 2.29 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 12.9% | 7.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS | 9.9% | 10.06 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 8.5% | 11.78 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 6.4% | 15.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | A LA KING | 4.1% | 24.29 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | MOERAKI | 3.5% | 28.79 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON | 3.2% | 31.71 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | SCIENCE PATCH | 2.9% | 34.32 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 2.7% | 36.94 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.2% | 82.56 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 1.1% | 92.35 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 13.5
PLACE
3 63.5
4 16
5 11
QUINELLA
4,5 37
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 212.5
3,5 90.5
4,5 19.5
FORECAST
5,4 40
TIERCE
5,4,3 583
TRIO
3,4,5 266
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 597
QUARTET
5,4,3,11 3,787
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 11.5
7TH DOUBLE
11/4 52.5
11/5 81