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Sha Tin · 2021-10-24

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MASTER EIGHT 1.08.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor 5 1.3 1-3/4
2 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY CP-/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 6 6.5 1-3/4
3 0 TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So 11 43.0 2-3/4
4 0 GALLANT EXPRESS E V Borges · J Size 9 19.0 2-3/4
5 0 SCIENCE PATCH C L Chau · P O'Sullivan 1 41.0 3-1/4
6 0 EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu 8 46.0 3-3/4
7 0 MAGIC PHOENIX H T Mo · L Ho 2 173.0 4-1/2
8 0 NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum 3 13.0 4-1/2
9 0 PROUD DRAGON M L Yeung · C Fownes 7 14.0 6
10 0 A LA KING B/TT1 C Y Ho · K H Ting 12 60.0 6
11 0 MOERAKI B M Chadwick · C W Chang 10 53.0 6-1/4
12 0 GOOD VIEW CLARICO H Bentley · C H Yip 4 40.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MASTER EIGHT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with THE GOLDEN SCENERY second and TEAM SPIRIT third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER EIGHT—2. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+1.75L3. TEAM SPIRIT+2.75L4. GALLANT EXPRESS+2.75L5. SCIENCE PATCH+3.25L6. EXCELLENT CHARIOT+3.75L7. MAGIC PHOENIX+4.5L8. NAMJONG SINGS+4.5L9. PROUD DRAGON+6L10. A LA KING+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MASTER EIGHT (43.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MASTER EIGHT 43.7% 2.29 1
2 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 12.9% 7.77 2
3 0 NAMJONG SINGS 9.9% 10.06 8
4 0 EXCELLENT CHARIOT 8.5% 11.78 6
5 0 GALLANT EXPRESS 6.4% 15.70 4
6 0 A LA KING 4.1% 24.29 10
7 0 MOERAKI 3.5% 28.79 11
8 0 PROUD DRAGON 3.2% 31.71 9
9 0 SCIENCE PATCH 2.9% 34.32 5
10 0 GOOD VIEW CLARICO 2.7% 36.94 12
11 0 TEAM SPIRIT 1.2% 82.56 3
12 0 MAGIC PHOENIX 1.1% 92.35 7
MASTER EIGHT — wonTHE GOLDEN SCENERYNAMJONG SINGSEXCELLENT CHARIOTGALLANT EXPRESSA LA KINGMOERAKIPROUD DRAGONSCIENCE PATCHGOOD VIEW CLARICOTEAM SPIRITMAGIC PHOENIX

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 13.5

PLACE

3 63.5

4 16

5 11

QUINELLA

4,5 37

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 212.5

3,5 90.5

4,5 19.5

FORECAST

5,4 40

TIERCE

5,4,3 583

TRIO

3,4,5 266

FIRST 4

3,4,5,11 597

QUARTET

5,4,3,11 3,787

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 11.5

A2 —

7TH DOUBLE

11/4 52.5

11/5 81