Sha Tin · 2021-10-24
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-24 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. COPARTNER AMBITION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SKY FOREVER second and BELUGA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT 1.20.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | SKY FOREVER Closed strongly TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 160.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BELUGA Closed strongly H Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR Closed strongly CP V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 9.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 5.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | MARVEL DRAGON TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 9 | 5.3 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | ROYAL PRIDE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CRAIG'S STAR B L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | SPEND H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 6 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | KASI FARASI TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | WIN WIN FIGHTER A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 1 | 54.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 26.5% | 3.77 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | BELUGA | 20.0% | 5.01 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 9.9% | 10.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | CRAIG'S STAR | 5.8% | 17.23 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | MARVEL DRAGON | 5.8% | 17.37 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION | 5.4% | 18.51 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 5.4% | 18.59 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 5.2% | 19.40 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | CROSSFORD | 3.8% | 26.33 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | KASI FARASI | 3.6% | 28.11 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | ROYAL PRIDE | 2.6% | 38.02 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 2.5% | 40.31 | 4 |
| 13 | 2 | SPEND | 2.0% | 49.47 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | SKY FOREVER | 1.6% | 63.22 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 47.5
PLACE
1 23.5
11 18
14 288
QUINELLA
11,14 4,172
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 69
1,14 1,285.5
11,14 1,302
FORECAST
11,14 5,013
TIERCE
11,14,1 46,143
TRIO
1,11,14 8,490
FIRST 4
1,11,13,14 29,333
QUARTET
11,14,1,13 688,112
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/1,11,14 287,614
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 24.5
6TH DOUBLE
9/11 336
9/14 626