Sha Tin · 2021-10-24
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOOD BUDDY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with FIRE BALL second and STREET SCREAM third. The 3.3 favourite STREET SCREAM finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY 1.09.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 6.6 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | FIRE BALL TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 8.3 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | STREET SCREAM H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CHICKEN DANCE B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SIGHT SPIRIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | PEGASUS GLORY B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | FOXHUNTER WAY H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | COMPULSORY B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 11 | 124.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | TAKINGUFURTHER V H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 66.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | SHENRON TT- B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK SR-/B1/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 8 | 20.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY | 23.2% | 4.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 16.7% | 5.99 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | STREET SCREAM | 16.5% | 6.05 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | FIRE BALL | 12.1% | 8.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK | 6.5% | 15.31 | 12 |
| 6 | 3 | PEGASUS GLORY | 5.3% | 18.85 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | CHICKEN DANCE | 4.2% | 24.01 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 3.7% | 26.94 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 3.2% | 31.10 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | SHENRON | 3.2% | 31.16 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 2.9% | 34.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | COMPULSORY | 2.5% | 40.75 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 66
PLACE
2 20.5
5 14.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
2,8 250.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 51.5
2,8 81.5
5,8 44
FORECAST
8,2 457
TIERCE
8,2,5 1,548
TRIO
2,5,8 260
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 1,062
QUARTET
8,2,5,1 19,062
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/2 20.5
7/8 84
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22