Sha Tin · 2021-10-24
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-24 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. XIANG YIN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with MALDIVES second and HALL OF CHAMP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite MALDIVES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | XIANG YIN Closed strongly TT 1.33.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | WIN WIN Closed strongly B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 93.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | FEARLESS FIRE XB C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 70.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | KINDA COOL B- M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 10 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 12 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 7 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GORYTUS XB/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 6.7 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | MR ALDAN B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MALDIVES | 26.7% | 3.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | XIANG YIN | 18.8% | 5.31 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN | 10.9% | 9.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | GORYTUS | 10.6% | 9.40 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP | 6.3% | 15.88 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER OASIS | 5.8% | 17.24 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | KINDA COOL | 5.2% | 19.06 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 3.6% | 28.02 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | MR ALDAN | 3.5% | 28.30 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | HEZA BEAUTY | 3.5% | 28.59 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.0% | 33.34 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | WIN WIN | 2.0% | 50.37 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 31
PLACE
1 36.5
6 14.5
9 12.5
QUINELLA
6,9 55.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 68.5
1,9 73
6,9 25
FORECAST
9,6 145
TIERCE
9,6,1 792
TRIO
1,6,9 190
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 385
QUARTET
9,6,1,8 6,678
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5
5TH DOUBLE
6/6 62.5
6/9 594.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,10/1,3,6/1,6,9 11,066,580
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,10/1,3,6/Any Combination 32,766