Sha Tin · 2021-10-24
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-24 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HIGHLAND FORTUNE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT second and SHINING GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite MASTER MONTARO finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE Closed strongly 1.20.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 5.7 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Closed strongly CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | SHINING GEM Closed strongly CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 85.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 2 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | MASTER MONTARO CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 3.5 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MISTER SNOWDON SR/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.5 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | RATTAN B2 K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 4 | 35.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | DECRYPT Led early TT2 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 69.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | SEA OF LIFE V C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 13.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 56.0 | ML |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MASTER MONTARO | 21.7% | 4.60 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 21.0% | 4.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | MISTER SNOWDON | 14.4% | 6.95 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 8.9% | 11.26 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT | 7.9% | 12.67 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | SEA OF LIFE | 6.5% | 15.39 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING | 4.5% | 22.06 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | GOLDEN DASH | 4.2% | 23.57 | 13 |
| 9 | 1 | RATTAN | 2.7% | 36.60 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | SHINING GEM | 2.4% | 42.14 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 2.2% | 45.30 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 2.1% | 46.65 | 7 |
| 13 | 5 | DECRYPT | 1.4% | 70.06 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 57
PLACE
2 16
7 19
10 48
QUINELLA
2,7 116.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 44.5
2,10 122
7,10 137.5
FORECAST
7,2 284
TIERCE
7,2,10 3,004
TRIO
2,7,10 777
FIRST 4
2,7,10,12 10,711
QUARTET
7,2,10,12 107,616
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,11/2,7,10 146,751
9TH DOUBLE
9/2 68
9/7 575
SIX UP
1,6/6,9/11,14/4,5/9,11/2,7 1,560
6/9/11/5/9/7 339,108
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
5/9/2 123
5/9/7 1,353