沙田 · 2021-10-24
第 3場
2021-10-24沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、K L Man訓練的SO AWESOME勝出，贏出2-3/4。ZACIAN獲得亞軍；VICTORIOUS LEADER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SO AWESOME 後段發力 1.22.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 10 | 2.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ZACIAN 後段發力 B- C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | LITTLE PLAYER 後段發力 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SCENIC SWEETIE TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | REGENCY GEM 後段發力 B-/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | EVEN KEEL 後段發力 B/XB L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 11 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | BIG BANG BONG 後段發力 B2 V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 13 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER FLAMES B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 180.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | SOCCER MASTER TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | INCREDIBLE 早段領放 B-/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 14 | 42.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BRAVE POWER | 13.7% | 7.29 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY GEM | 11.4% | 8.77 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | ZACIAN | 9.5% | 10.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 8.5% | 11.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | SOCCER MASTER | 8.2% | 12.14 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | SO AWESOME | 8.0% | 12.47 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | LITTLE PLAYER | 7.5% | 13.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 7.5% | 13.34 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | EVEN KEEL | 7.0% | 14.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 6.4% | 15.59 | 14 |
| 11 | 8 | SCENIC SWEETIE | 5.7% | 17.63 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | INCREDIBLE | 3.4% | 29.72 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.5% | 39.60 | 10 |
| 14 | 4 | SUPER FLAMES | 0.7% | 144.67 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 29.5
PLACE
1 15
5 37.5
9 44
QUINELLA
1,5 219.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 87.5
1,9 98.5
5,9 283
FORECAST
1,5 285
TIERCE
1,5,9 4,042
TRIO
1,5,9 990
FIRST 4
1,5,9,12 853
QUARTET
1,5,9,12 15,210
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 293
8/5 97.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5