跑馬地 · 2021-12-01
第 4場
2021-12-01跑馬地第4場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A T Millard訓練的SUPER HONG KONG勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUCCESS ALLSTARS獲得亞軍；WAH MAY LUCK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門THIS IS CHARISMA跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT 1.51.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 8 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS 後段發力 B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 4 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | WAH MAY LUCK 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | INCREDIBLE 早段領放 TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA 後段發力 CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | DIAMOND STAR 後段發力 E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | VIRTUS STAR TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 1 | 80.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | SMILING FACE 後段發力 B-/SR1/TT1 H W Lai · D J Whyte | H W Lai | D J Whyte | 10 | 105.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TELECOM CHEETAH B/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TAILOR MADE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GRAND POWER B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 38.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | WHO'S HORSE B/XB/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 19.7% | 5.08 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER HONG KONG | 17.7% | 5.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 12.4% | 8.08 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | DIAMOND STAR | 11.4% | 8.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | WAH MAY LUCK | 8.0% | 12.57 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | TAILOR MADE | 7.1% | 14.18 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | INCREDIBLE | 7.0% | 14.19 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | GRAND POWER | 6.1% | 16.50 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | WHO'S HORSE | 4.3% | 23.46 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 3.1% | 32.12 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | SMILING FACE | 1.8% | 54.43 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | VIRTUS STAR | 1.6% | 63.69 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 37
PLACE
3 27
4 16.5
5 18
QUINELLA
4,5 122
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 76.5
3,5 69.5
4,5 42
FORECAST
4,5 198
TIERCE
4,5,3 883
TRIO
3,4,5 181
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 288
QUARTET
4,5,3,6 4,572
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18
3RD DOUBLE
7/4 242.5
7/5 47.5