跑馬地 · 2021-12-01
第 9場
2021-12-01跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C W Chang訓練的FAMILY FOLKS勝出，贏出N。THE RUNNER獲得亞軍；DIAMOND BRILLIANT獲得季軍。頭馬以4.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FAMILY FOLKS CP 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 4.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | THE RUNNER V1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | JAZZ STEED TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 92.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | HARMONY N HOME R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 12 | 50.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | FIRST RESPONDER B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SPECIAL M B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 9.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | HARRIER JET B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 128.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | ROCK YA HEART CP/H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 4.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 11 | 49.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 17.6% | 5.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | ROCK YA HEART | 15.3% | 6.53 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | FAMILY FOLKS | 15.1% | 6.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 13.6% | 7.35 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | SPECIAL M | 10.0% | 9.96 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | FIRST RESPONDER | 8.6% | 11.60 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | THE RUNNER | 5.4% | 18.56 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 4.4% | 22.67 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 3.6% | 27.65 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | HARMONY N HOME | 2.4% | 40.83 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | JAZZ STEED | 2.4% | 41.49 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | HARRIER JET | 1.5% | 68.35 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 40.5
PLACE
1 16
3 14.5
7 30.5
QUINELLA
3,7 218.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 35
1,7 78
3,7 75
FORECAST
3,7 296
TIERCE
3,7,1 1,270
TRIO
1,3,7 335
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 324
QUARTET
3,7,1,5 6,316
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 25
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,9/1,3,7 55,557
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 143
3/7 123.5
SIX UP
4/2/5,6/10/3/3 28,549
4,5/2,3/1,5,6/4,10/3,6/3,7 1,742
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
10/3/3 1,158
10/3/7 758