跑馬地 · 2021-12-01
第 7場
2021-12-01跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的POISED TO STRIKE勝出，贏出N。SINGAPORE SPIRIT獲得亞軍；COLONEL獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門HAPPY GATHERING跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE TT 1.10.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 4 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B1/TT1 C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | COLONEL V- C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | HAPPY GATHERING B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 3.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO B R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 10 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WIN CHARM TT1 V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 7 | 119.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 174.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | DASSIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | ILLUSTRIOUS B1 C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 4 | 140.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HAPPY GATHERING | 27.3% | 3.67 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | DASSIT | 26.4% | 3.79 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE | 16.1% | 6.19 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 9.5% | 10.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 6.2% | 16.13 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.3% | 23.34 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | COLONEL | 3.2% | 30.95 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 2.7% | 36.39 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | WIN CHARM | 1.8% | 56.80 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | DAILY BEAUTY | 1.2% | 81.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | ILLUSTRIOUS | 0.8% | 128.46 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC | 0.4% | 225.33 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 48.5
PLACE
1 28.5
4 20
10 18.5
QUINELLA
4,10 159
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 99
1,10 67
4,10 61
FORECAST
10,4 469
TIERCE
10,4,1 2,615
TRIO
1,4,10 422
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 245
QUARTET
10,4,1,8 9,339
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8>5,6/1,4,10 47,083
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
5,6/4 32
5,6/10 235.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,4/1,8>5,6/Any Combination 12,185