沙田 · 2022-01-16 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-01-16沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的GOLDEN EMPIRE勝出，贏出N。STREET SCREAM獲得亞軍；COUNTRY BOY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE 1.09.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 3.3 | N |
| 2 | 11 | STREET SCREAM H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | PACKING AWARD K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 6 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TRUST ME B/H R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SCIENCE PATCH B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | NICHOLSON RETURNS B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD XB1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 39.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | BOYS PARTY B/XB L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 9 | 116.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | FANTASY B/XB A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 10 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | COMMON ROOM TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 22.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR E-/H1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 52.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COUNTRY BOY | 20.2% | 4.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | PACKING AWARD | 18.6% | 5.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 18.3% | 5.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | STREET SCREAM | 13.5% | 7.41 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | TRUST ME | 6.4% | 15.75 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | FANTASY | 5.3% | 18.81 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 4.3% | 23.03 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | COMMON ROOM | 3.9% | 25.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | SCIENCE PATCH | 3.8% | 26.62 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 3.2% | 31.68 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD | 1.4% | 71.17 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | BOYS PARTY | 1.1% | 87.82 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 33.5
PLACE
7 18
8 15.5
11 20
QUINELLA
8,11 106
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 33
7,11 54.5
8,11 45
FORECAST
8,11 182
TIERCE
8,11,7 672
TRIO
7,8,11 169
FIRST 4
1,7,8,11 145
QUARTET
8,11,7,1 2,834
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/8 252.5
6/11 88.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23