沙田 · 2022-01-16 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-01-16沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C S Shum訓練的ROMANTIC WARRIOR勝出，贏出1-1/4。LUCKY WITH YOU獲得亞軍；PERFECT PAIR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR 後段發力 TT 1.21.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 3 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY WITH YOU 後段發力 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | PERFECT PAIR 後段發力 SR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER WINNER 早段領放 TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | ALL BEAUTY 後段發力 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 45.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT 後段發力 P-/E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 8 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MR ASCENDENCY A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 63.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | BEAUTY SPIRIT 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 41.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY GOLD B/H A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 67.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | NATURAL STORM B/TT1 C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 12 | 142.0 | 14 |
| — | 5 | MASTER HERO M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 37.4% | 2.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 19.8% | 5.06 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT | 11.3% | 8.87 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | ALL BEAUTY | 8.1% | 12.42 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 5.9% | 17.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.3% | 23.32 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | PERFECT PAIR | 3.1% | 32.42 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 2.5% | 40.00 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | MR ASCENDENCY | 2.1% | 47.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER WINNER | 1.8% | 54.73 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | NATURAL STORM | 1.7% | 60.40 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | DUBLIN STAR | 1.6% | 62.73 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | LUCKY GOLD | 0.7% | 152.78 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 19.5
PLACE
2 17
4 11.5
12 33.5
QUINELLA
2,4 44.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 22.5
2,12 102
4,12 48
FORECAST
4,2 57
TIERCE
4,2,12 391
TRIO
2,4,12 173
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 1,031
QUARTET
4,2,12,6 6,799
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,4,12 3,607
9TH DOUBLE
4/2 11
4/4 23.5
SIX UP
4,12/10,13/8,11/3,9/1,4/2,4 1,864
4/13/11/9/4/4 359,915
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
9/4/2 33
9/4/4 78