沙田 · 2022-01-16 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-01-16沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、C H Yip訓練的CORDYCEPS TWO勝出，贏出SH。LEADING FORTUNE獲得亞軍；BIG BROOK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門TURQUOISE ALPHA跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CORDYCEPS TWO 後段發力 1.35.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 8 | 32.0 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 7.4 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | BIG BROOK 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BOOM STITCH 後段發力 CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MR ALDAN 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 14 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 4.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | LOTUS FAVORITES 後段發力 H A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 5 | 98.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GENERAL WINNER H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | SPLENDID LIVING 早段領放 CP-/H1/XB1 K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 9 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | NEW FUTURE B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 2 | 8.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | RING BELLS XB1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 4 | 7.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 152.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | PRINCE OF BON BON M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 88.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 29.9% | 3.35 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | BOOM STITCH | 13.0% | 7.70 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | LEADING FORTUNE | 10.0% | 9.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | NEW FUTURE | 9.8% | 10.18 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 7.7% | 13.01 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | GENERAL WINNER | 6.7% | 14.82 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | BIG BROOK | 5.5% | 18.06 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | RING BELLS | 5.3% | 18.94 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | MR ALDAN | 4.1% | 24.56 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 2.1% | 48.37 | 1 |
| 11 | 1 | SPLENDID LIVING | 1.9% | 52.54 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 1.8% | 55.54 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 1.2% | 82.44 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | WONDER YEARS | 1.0% | 99.66 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 322.5
PLACE
5 61
10 22.5
13 81
QUINELLA
10,13 1,230
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 245.5
5,13 998
10,13 360.5
FORECAST
13,10 2,485
TIERCE
13,10,5 46,557
TRIO
5,10,13 9,667
FIRST 4
4,5,10,13 8,059
QUARTET
13,10,5,4 229,419
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 22.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/10 34.5
4/13 2,123
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,7/4,8,12/Any Combination 63,255