沙田 · 2022-01-16 · 16:06
第 7場
2022-01-16沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、C S Shum訓練的ROMANTIC COMBO勝出，贏出N。KING'S CAPITAL獲得亞軍；CHANCHENG PRINCE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門CHANCHENG PRINCE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ROMANTIC COMBO 後段發力 B/TT 1.46.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 8.3 | N |
| 2 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 8 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE 後段發力 XB/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 3.9 | N |
| 4 | 7 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE E C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 9.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | CROSSFORD 後段發力 H/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | MAGNIFICENT 早段領放 H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 4 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 10 | 79.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 13 | 10.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | ENJOYING B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 21.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 18.4% | 5.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 16.3% | 6.15 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | SKYEY SUPREME | 12.2% | 8.17 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | CROSSFORD | 10.6% | 9.39 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR | 8.4% | 11.84 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | ENJOYING | 7.3% | 13.79 | 13 |
| 7 | 11 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 6.0% | 16.71 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 5.7% | 17.49 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.7% | 17.63 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.1% | 32.56 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 2.6% | 39.10 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | MAGNIFICENT | 2.5% | 40.70 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.3% | 76.00 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 83.5
PLACE
3 19
8 46
11 29.5
QUINELLA
8,11 626
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 138.5
3,11 74.5
8,11 204.5
FORECAST
11,8 1,270
TIERCE
11,8,3 6,557
TRIO
3,8,11 983
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 3,172
QUARTET
11,8,3,7 85,013
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,13/3,8,11 1,739,717
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 32.5
6TH DOUBLE
13/8 776.5
13/11 3,312.5