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Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1800m 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT 1.46.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum 6 8.3 N
2 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly A Hamelin · D A Hayes 8 16.0 N
3 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · K W Lui 5 3.9 N
4 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE E C Y Ho · W Y So 1 9.9 1
5 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 10.0 1
6 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang 3 11.0 1-3/4
7 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor 12 14.0 2
8 0 CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P V Borges · J Size 7 7.1 3-1/2
9 0 TURIN REDSTAR B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 2 10.0 4-1/2
10 0 MAGNIFICENT Led early H T Mo · K H Ting 4 31.0 7-1/2
11 0 RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT C Wong · R Gibson 10 79.0 10
12 0 SKYEY SUPREME B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui 13 10.0 10-1/4
13 0 ENJOYING B/TT A Badel · W Y So 11 21.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ROMANTIC COMBO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with KING'S CAPITAL second and CHANCHENG PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite CHANCHENG PRINCE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMANTIC COMBO—2. KING'S CAPITAL+0.05L3. CHANCHENG PRINCE+0.05L4. EXCEPTIONAL NICE+1L5. PARTY EVERYDAY+1L6. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE+1.75L7. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+2L8. CROSSFORD+3.5L9. TURIN REDSTAR+4.5L10. MAGNIFICENT+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick CHANCHENG PRINCE (18.4%) finished 3rd — the winner ROMANTIC COMBO was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 18.4% 5.44 3
2 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE 16.3% 6.15 4
3 0 SKYEY SUPREME 12.2% 8.17 12
4 0 CROSSFORD 10.6% 9.39 8
5 0 TURIN REDSTAR 8.4% 11.84 9
6 0 ENJOYING 7.3% 13.79 13
7 0 ROMANTIC COMBO 6.0% 16.71 1
8 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 5.7% 17.49 5
9 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 5.7% 17.63 7
10 0 KING'S CAPITAL 3.1% 32.56 2
11 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 2.6% 39.10 6
12 0 MAGNIFICENT 2.5% 40.70 10
13 0 RIGHT HONOURABLE 1.3% 76.00 11
CHANCHENG PRINCEEXCEPTIONAL NICESKYEY SUPREMECROSSFORDTURIN REDSTARENJOYINGROMANTIC COMBO — wonPARTY EVERYDAYALL FOR ST PAUL'SKING'S CAPITALRIGHTEOUS DOCTRINEMAGNIFICENTRIGHT HONOURABLE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 83.5

PLACE

3 19

8 46

11 29.5

QUINELLA

8,11 626

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 138.5

3,11 74.5

8,11 204.5

FORECAST

11,8 1,270

TIERCE

11,8,3 6,557

TRIO

3,8,11 983

FIRST 4

3,7,8,11 3,172

QUARTET

11,8,3,7 85,013

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,10,13/3,8,11 1,739,717

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 32.5

6TH DOUBLE

13/8 776.5

13/11 3,312.5