Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly 1.34.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 11 2.9 2-1/4
2 0 CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 5 2.1 2-1/4
3 0 LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 12 20.0 2-1/2
4 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 94.0 2-3/4
5 0 RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum 2 11.0 4-1/4
6 0 STORM LEGEND Closed strongly TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes 8 38.0 4-1/2
7 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui 3 41.0 4-3/4
8 0 SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B-/XB- M L Yeung · K W Lui 7 42.0 5
9 0 PRECISE EXPRESS H/TT1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu 1 20.0 5
10 0 EZRA B R Maia · A T Millard 10 28.0 5-1/4
11 0 SOULMATE Closed strongly K H Chan · P F Yiu 6 14.0 7-1/2
12 0 HELENE NORTH STAR XB1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 9 48.0 9-3/4
13 0 FABULOUSIO A Hamelin · C H Yip 4 112.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SPIRIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 2-1/4, with CAPTAIN WIN second and LOOKING GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite CAPTAIN WIN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SIGHT SPIRIT—2. CAPTAIN WIN+2.25L3. LOOKING GREAT+2.5L4. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+2.75L5. RISE BRETHREN+4.25L6. STORM LEGEND+4.5L7. WIN WIN FIGHTER+4.75L8. SUPER OASIS+5L9. PRECISE EXPRESS+5L10. EZRA+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SIGHT SPIRIT (29.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SIGHT SPIRIT 29.4% 3.40 1
2 0 CAPTAIN WIN 21.7% 4.61 2
3 0 SOULMATE 16.1% 6.19 11
4 0 RISE BRETHREN 10.6% 9.43 5
5 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 5.1% 19.79 9
6 0 EZRA 3.8% 26.23 10
7 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER 3.1% 32.36 7
8 0 LOOKING GREAT 2.5% 39.36 3
9 0 STORM LEGEND 2.3% 42.84 6
10 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 2.1% 48.44 4
11 0 SUPER OASIS 1.6% 63.37 8
12 0 FABULOUSIO 0.9% 112.25 13
13 0 HELENE NORTH STAR 0.8% 127.99 12
SIGHT SPIRIT — wonCAPTAIN WINSOULMATERISE BRETHRENPRECISE EXPRESSEZRAWIN WIN FIGHTERLOOKING GREATSTORM LEGENDGAMEPLAYER TIMESSUPER OASISFABULOUSIOHELENE NORTH STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 29

PLACE

2 46.5

3 10.1

9 15

QUINELLA

3,9 33

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 73

2,9 80

3,9 17.5

FORECAST

9,3 70

TIERCE

9,3,2 613

TRIO

2,3,9 164

FIRST 4

2,3,9,11 1,798

QUARTET

9,3,2,11 15,980

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 12.5

7TH DOUBLE

11/3 42

11/9 300