Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SPIRIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 2-1/4, with CAPTAIN WIN second and LOOKING GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite CAPTAIN WIN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly 1.34.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 94.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 41.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B-/XB- M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 7 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS H/TT1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | EZRA B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SOULMATE Closed strongly K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 6 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | HELENE NORTH STAR XB1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 48.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | FABULOUSIO A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 112.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 29.4% | 3.40 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN | 21.7% | 4.61 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | SOULMATE | 16.1% | 6.19 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | RISE BRETHREN | 10.6% | 9.43 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.1% | 19.79 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | EZRA | 3.8% | 26.23 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 3.1% | 32.36 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | LOOKING GREAT | 2.5% | 39.36 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | STORM LEGEND | 2.3% | 42.84 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 2.1% | 48.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER OASIS | 1.6% | 63.37 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | FABULOUSIO | 0.9% | 112.25 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | HELENE NORTH STAR | 0.8% | 127.99 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 29
PLACE
2 46.5
3 10.1
9 15
QUINELLA
3,9 33
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 73
2,9 80
3,9 17.5
FORECAST
9,3 70
TIERCE
9,3,2 613
TRIO
2,3,9 164
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 1,798
QUARTET
9,3,2,11 15,980
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/3 42
11/9 300