Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EN POINTE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with CHEERFUL LEADER second and STAR CONTACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EN POINTE Closed strongly 1.22.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B1/TT1 M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 5 | 47.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | G ONE EXCELLENT B-/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | FLYING SWORD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 6.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE Led early B1/TT1 M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 14 | 52.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | WIN WIN Closed strongly B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 6 | 9.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | BLAZING SUN Closed strongly H K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY LAND B-/XB/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | SNOWALOT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | SHINING RED Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 88.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EN POINTE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING SWORD | 12.3% | 8.13 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | DRAGON BABY | 9.9% | 10.05 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 8.2% | 12.15 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | WIN WIN | 7.1% | 14.05 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | SNOWALOT | 6.3% | 15.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY LAND | 6.1% | 16.50 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | STAR CONTACT | 5.7% | 17.41 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | BLAZING SUN | 5.0% | 19.93 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 4.7% | 21.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | SHINING RED | 3.5% | 28.70 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | ROYAL AGILITY | 2.5% | 39.38 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 2.5% | 39.59 | 2 |
| 14 | 14 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 1.4% | 71.00 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 32.5
PLACE
4 16
8 122
12 40
QUINELLA
4,12 238.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 284.5
4,12 93.5
8,12 727.5
FORECAST
4,12 406
TIERCE
4,12,8 13,895
TRIO
4,8,12 3,366
FIRST 4
4,8,12,14 24,273
QUARTET
4,12,8,14 248,413
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 648
3/12 224.5