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Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 15:03

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.46
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EN POINTE Closed strongly 1.22.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor 4 3.2 3/4
2 0 CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly XB H Bentley · P F Yiu 10 15.0 3/4
3 0 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B1/TT1 M Chadwick · D A Hayes 5 47.0 1-1/2
4 0 G ONE EXCELLENT B-/TT R Maia · C H Yip 7 30.0 2-1/4
5 0 DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size 1 8.0 2-1/4
6 0 JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · D J Hall 8 5.7 2-1/2
7 0 FLYING SWORD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 2 6.9 2-3/4
8 0 CIRCUIT ELITE Led early B1/TT1 M L Yeung · A S Cruz 14 52.0 3
9 0 WIN WIN Closed strongly B M F Poon · T P Yung 6 9.3 3-1/2
10 0 BLAZING SUN Closed strongly H K Teetan · K W Lui 11 18.0 5
11 0 HAPPY LAND B-/XB/TT A Badel · C S Shum 3 18.0 5
12 0 SNOWALOT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 9 20.0 5-1/2
13 0 SHINING RED Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 20.0 7-1/2
14 0 ROYAL AGILITY B/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 12 88.0 9-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EN POINTE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with CHEERFUL LEADER second and STAR CONTACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EN POINTE—2. CHEERFUL LEADER+0.75L3. STAR CONTACT+1.5L4. G ONE EXCELLENT+2.25L5. DRAGON BABY+2.25L6. JOYFUL GENIUS+2.5L7. FLYING SWORD+2.75L8. CIRCUIT ELITE+3L9. WIN WIN+3.5L10. BLAZING SUN+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick EN POINTE (24.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EN POINTE 24.6% 4.07 1
2 0 FLYING SWORD 12.3% 8.13 7
3 0 DRAGON BABY 9.9% 10.05 5
4 0 JOYFUL GENIUS 8.2% 12.15 6
5 0 WIN WIN 7.1% 14.05 9
6 0 SNOWALOT 6.3% 15.80 12
7 0 HAPPY LAND 6.1% 16.50 11
8 0 STAR CONTACT 5.7% 17.41 3
9 0 BLAZING SUN 5.0% 19.93 10
10 0 CIRCUIT ELITE 4.7% 21.12 8
11 0 SHINING RED 3.5% 28.70 13
12 0 ROYAL AGILITY 2.5% 39.38 14
13 0 CHEERFUL LEADER 2.5% 39.59 2
14 0 G ONE EXCELLENT 1.4% 71.00 4
EN POINTE — wonFLYING SWORDDRAGON BABYJOYFUL GENIUSWIN WINSNOWALOTHAPPY LANDSTAR CONTACTBLAZING SUNCIRCUIT ELITESHINING REDROYAL AGILITYCHEERFUL LEADERG ONE EXCELLENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 32.5

PLACE

4 16

8 122

12 40

QUINELLA

4,12 238.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 284.5

4,12 93.5

8,12 727.5

FORECAST

4,12 406

TIERCE

4,12,8 13,895

TRIO

4,8,12 3,366

FIRST 4

4,8,12,14 24,273

QUARTET

4,12,8,14 248,413

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 21

A3 —

A2 —

4TH DOUBLE

3/4 648

3/12 224.5