Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1.21.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 3 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Led early TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 45.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly P-/E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 8 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 63.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 41.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD B/H A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 67.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | NATURAL STORM B/TT1 C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 12 | 142.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | MASTER HERO M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | — | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with PERFECT PAIR second and SUPER WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 37.4% | 2.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 19.8% | 5.06 | — |
| 3 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT | 11.3% | 8.87 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 8.1% | 12.42 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 5.9% | 17.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.3% | 23.32 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 3.1% | 32.42 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 2.5% | 40.00 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 2.1% | 47.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 1.8% | 54.73 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 1.7% | 60.40 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR | 1.6% | 62.73 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 0.7% | 152.78 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 19.5
PLACE
2 17
4 11.5
12 33.5
QUINELLA
2,4 44.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 22.5
2,12 102
4,12 48
FORECAST
4,2 57
TIERCE
4,2,12 391
TRIO
2,4,12 173
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 1,031
QUARTET
4,2,12,6 6,799
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,4,12 3,607
9TH DOUBLE
4/2 11
4/4 23.5
SIX UP
4,12/10,13/8,11/3,9/1,4/2,4 1,864
4/13/11/9/4/4 359,915
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
9/4/2 33
9/4/4 78