Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB 1.38.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 43.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 3 | 7.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | WINMORE STAR R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 1 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STEEL WIN Led early A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 6 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 11 | 80.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 2.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHIRON B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 8 | 61.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 34.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. APACHE PASS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with SUN OF MAKFI second and WINMORE STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite ALL JOYFUL finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 23.2% | 4.31 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL | 19.9% | 5.02 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 18.9% | 5.28 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 8.2% | 12.24 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | STEEL WIN | 7.7% | 12.91 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | WINMORE STAR | 6.1% | 16.44 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CHIRON | 5.8% | 17.32 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 3.3% | 29.86 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.0% | 33.01 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 2.9% | 34.54 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 0.9% | 115.49 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 433.5
PLACE
3 91
8 17.5
11 24.5
QUINELLA
3,11 1,799
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 269
3,11 410.5
8,11 73
FORECAST
3,11 4,409
TIERCE
3,11,8 20,561
TRIO
3,8,11 2,073
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 1,605
QUARTET
3,11,8,4 69,659
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/3 1,554.5
8/11 53
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 50
A1 —