Sha Tin · 2022-01-16 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THE HULK, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with WAR OF COURAGE second and QUADRUPLE DOUBLE third. The 2.8 favourite LIGHTNING BOLT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE HULK 1.09.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 9.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | KUMASI C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 110.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER FORTUNE CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | FLYING BONUS P- K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 75.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | MIGHTY VALOR TT1 H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 3 | 48.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER FORTUNE | 43.7% | 2.29 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 16.6% | 6.03 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | KUMASI | 8.3% | 12.02 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | WILD WEST WING | 7.4% | 13.55 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | THE HULK | 7.3% | 13.67 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | WAR OF COURAGE | 6.6% | 15.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 3.4% | 29.34 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | FLYING BONUS | 2.1% | 48.00 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 1.9% | 51.32 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | MIGHTY VALOR | 1.5% | 66.76 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER | 1.2% | 85.56 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 157
PLACE
3 32
5 24
7 24.5
QUINELLA
3,7 527.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 153.5
3,7 140
5,7 96
FORECAST
3,7 806
TIERCE
3,7,5 5,749
TRIO
3,5,7 1,231
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 536
QUARTET
3,7,5,8 19,969
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,11/3,5,7 245,159
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 50.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/3 5,576
3/7 914.5