沙田 · 2022-01-16 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-01-16沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的EN POINTE勝出，贏出3/4。CHEERFUL LEADER獲得亞軍；STAR CONTACT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EN POINTE 後段發力 1.22.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | CHEERFUL LEADER 後段發力 XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | STAR CONTACT 後段發力 B1/TT1 M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 5 | 47.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | G ONE EXCELLENT B-/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | JOYFUL GENIUS 後段發力 CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | FLYING SWORD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 6.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE 早段領放 B1/TT1 M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 14 | 52.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 6 | 9.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | BLAZING SUN 後段發力 H K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY LAND B-/XB/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | SNOWALOT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | SHINING RED 後段發力 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 88.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EN POINTE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING SWORD | 12.3% | 8.13 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | DRAGON BABY | 9.9% | 10.05 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 8.2% | 12.15 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | WIN WIN | 7.1% | 14.05 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | SNOWALOT | 6.3% | 15.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY LAND | 6.1% | 16.50 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | STAR CONTACT | 5.7% | 17.41 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | BLAZING SUN | 5.0% | 19.93 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 4.7% | 21.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | SHINING RED | 3.5% | 28.70 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | ROYAL AGILITY | 2.5% | 39.38 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 2.5% | 39.59 | 2 |
| 14 | 14 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 1.4% | 71.00 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 32.5
PLACE
4 16
8 122
12 40
QUINELLA
4,12 238.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 284.5
4,12 93.5
8,12 727.5
FORECAST
4,12 406
TIERCE
4,12,8 13,895
TRIO
4,8,12 3,366
FIRST 4
4,8,12,14 24,273
QUARTET
4,12,8,14 248,413
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 648
3/12 224.5