沙田 · 2022-02-03 · 17:19
第 10場
2022-02-03沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的FLYING ACE勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUPER FORTUNE獲得亞軍；ARMOUR EAGLE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING ACE B 1.09.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SUPER FORTUNE CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE TT J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 13 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GALLANT EXPRESS E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | PROSECCO H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 355.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | KUMASI C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 1 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | BEAUTY MISSION SR A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 14 | 81.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 9 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SUCCESS FIGHTER B1/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 200.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPY SHARING TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | RIVER VIEWS TT1 D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 8 | 258.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | JOLLY RULER H1 L Currie · P F Yiu | L Currie | P F Yiu | 6 | 139.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING ACE | 19.4% | 5.16 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 19.1% | 5.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | SUPER FORTUNE | 15.0% | 6.69 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 11.8% | 8.49 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 10.5% | 9.48 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS | 6.0% | 16.80 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | JOLLY RULER | 4.7% | 21.20 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | KUMASI | 4.6% | 21.51 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | BEAUTY MISSION | 2.7% | 36.48 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | RIVER VIEWS | 1.8% | 56.71 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY SHARING | 1.5% | 67.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SUCCESS FIGHTER | 1.4% | 71.57 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 1.2% | 82.46 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | PROSECCO | 0.3% | 363.60 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 21.5
PLACE
4 12.5
6 36
13 27
QUINELLA
4,13 127
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 62
4,13 47
6,13 204.5
FORECAST
4,13 235
TIERCE
4,13,6 1,825
TRIO
4,6,13 497
FIRST 4
4,5,6,13 364
QUARTET
4,13,6,5 6,380
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
9TH DOUBLE
12/4 58.5
12/13 103