沙田 · 2022-02-03 · 15:36
第 7場
2022-02-03沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY FIT勝出，贏出2-1/4。SAUVESTRE獲得亞軍；PRECISE EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門SAUVESTRE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT 後段發力 E/B1 1.21.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SAUVESTRE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | PRECISE EXPRESS 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | CRAIG'S STAR 後段發力 B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | PALACE PAL M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 14 | 184.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER OASIS R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 7 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | BOOM ALLIANCE 後段發力 SR1/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 79.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | FARSHAD C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 81.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | YO BEAUTY 早段領放 CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | NEVER TOO SOON TT1 L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 4 | 9.2 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | THE CROWN TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 16.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SAUVESTRE | 18.2% | 5.49 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT | 16.9% | 5.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 13.8% | 7.24 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | YO BEAUTY | 11.1% | 8.99 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.6% | 15.21 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | THE CROWN | 5.4% | 18.51 | 14 |
| 7 | 13 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.2% | 19.22 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 4.7% | 21.13 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 4.1% | 24.56 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | FARSHAD | 3.2% | 31.18 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER OASIS | 3.2% | 31.43 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | KASI FARASI | 3.0% | 33.46 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.8% | 35.35 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | PALACE PAL | 1.8% | 55.59 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 66.5
PLACE
1 20.5
3 16
13 51
QUINELLA
1,3 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 46
1,13 181
3,13 128.5
FORECAST
1,3 237
TIERCE
1,3,13 4,425
TRIO
1,3,13 849
FIRST 4
1,3,4,13 2,815
QUARTET
1,3,13,4 51,959
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 18.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
10,12/1 177.5
10,12/3 20
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,9/4,8,10,12/1,3,13 653,553
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,9/4,8,10,12/Any Combination 297