沙田 · 2022-02-03 · 17:53
第 11場
2022-02-03沙田第11場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的CHARITY GO勝出，贏出N。LOOKING GREAT獲得亞軍；ENJOYING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門BELUGA跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CHARITY GO 後段發力 SR 1.47.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 9.3 | N |
| 2 | 13 | LOOKING GREAT 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 6.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | ENJOYING B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BELUGA 早段領放 H M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | BERLIN TANGO 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 E/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 D Moor · W Y So | D Moor | W Y So | 10 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | C P BRAVE B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 7 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER FOOTBALL 後段發力 CP-/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 39.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 63.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | S J TOURBILLON B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 127.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 5 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 15.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 4 | SENOR TOBA J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CHARITY GO | 18.2% | 5.48 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 15.0% | 6.66 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | BERLIN TANGO | 12.6% | 7.92 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 11.6% | 8.61 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | BELUGA | 11.1% | 9.04 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | LOOKING GREAT | 9.3% | 10.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | C P BRAVE | 5.5% | 18.10 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 4.4% | 22.75 | 13 |
| 9 | 8 | ENJOYING | 4.2% | 23.76 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.7% | 36.40 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 2.4% | 41.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 2.3% | 43.27 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | S J TOURBILLON | 0.6% | 168.97 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 93
PLACE
8 54
12 22.5
13 22.5
QUINELLA
12,13 271
QUINELLA PLACE
8,12 186
8,13 205
12,13 89.5
FORECAST
12,13 557
TIERCE
12,13,8 8,538
TRIO
8,12,13 1,653
FIRST 4
1,8,12,13 910
QUARTET
12,13,8,1 27,927
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
4/12 283
4/13 28.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,13/8,12,13 149,587
SIX UP
8,10,12/1,3/3,4/5,12/4,13/12,13 432
10,12/1/3/12/4/12 15,329
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
12/4/12 829
12/4/13 82